What is the weather forecast for January 2023: summer arrived with everything?

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According to the climatology, of the three months of the season, the month of January is the hottest of the whole year for some areas of Brazil. Summer arrived in December, and there are those who still haven't seen a sun worthy of the season. So what's the weather forecast for the rest of January? Will we continue with a lot of rain or will the sun come? Continue reading and find out.

January 2023 weather forecast

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The forecast for January 2023 is clear: rainy days are not a rule, as the south of Brazil it does not usually present them during the month of January, except in the East of Santa Catarina, in Paraná. Sometimes they happen in the Northeast of Rio Grande do Sul, which is under the influence of the Convergence Zone located in the South Atlantic.

From 1991-2020, the minimum in the historical average of the state of São Paulo was 19.4°C, so that it was the second highest minimum, since the first is 19.6°C, which occurred in the month of February. On the other hand, the average maximum was estimated at 29.0°C, and in second place the

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temperature was 28.6°C.

Porto Alegre has the highest average temperature for the entire year in January, with 20.7°C in February and 19.4°C in December. The highest average occurs in the capital in January, with 31.0°C, the highest of all months of the year.

The second month of the season is under the strong influence of La Niña, the phenomenon that cools the waters of the Pacific and is responsible for the impact on the climate during the last few months. The beginning of summer has been different, as Brazilians themselves indicate. The peak arrived in Brazil in October, but this is the third beginning of summer influenced by the phenomenon.

La Niña will be neutralized and should not occur until the end of the summer, but the month of January will still be under strong influences of the event.

The month of January will start with irregular rains, as indicated by MetSul. Most of these rains will be in the Southeast and Midwest of Brazil. Areas may be affected by landslides and floods, with the greatest risk presented in São Paulo and Minas Gerais. Isolated storms are forecast for Espírito Santo and Rio de Janeiro.

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